2021. december 6. hétfő
IDŐJÁRÁS - OMSZ angol nyelvű folyóirat

Vol. 124, No. 4 * Pages 427–560 * October - December 2020

Quarterly Journal of Hungarian Meteorological Service

letöltés [pdf: 2798 KB]
The future of edible crops in Europe and their maximum point of resistance in temperature increase
Aleksandar Valjarević, Miško Milanović, Jelena Golijanin, Miroljub Milinčić, and Tin Lukić
 PDF (1700 KB)   |   Abstract

In the last decades, knowledge about the climate has increased significantly. Climate change today is the subject of many sciences, including meteorology, climatology, geology, geography, geophysics, astronomy, etc. The present predictions with updated meteorological data and with data of the number of particles of CO2 in the troposphere may give satisfying results. Forecasting for industrial grains such as maize, soybean, and wheat will be essential for industry and everyday life. Within the last agreement of climate change in Paris, global temperatures will continuously be increasing by 2100. In this research, we used a synthetic grid with agroclimatological data which comprises predictions until 2100. These data were found in the sub-section called World Clim Version 1 or in the CMIP5 database. After numerical and geospatial GIS analysis, we got the following predictions: (i) slight- no temperature changes or changes including the increase of temperature by 0.5 °C, (ii) moderate- temperature increases by 2.0 °C, (iii) severe- temperature increases by 5.0 °C, and (iv) incredible- temperature increases to extreme values, incase of which the survival of plants will be endangered.

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